I am sure all of us know about the all-so-mighty and ever-important yellow shiny metal which was used centuries ago. It’s magical lure? It is a commodity with a limited supply and growing demand (from electronics to hedging against inflation). Let’s talk about how we can acquire this precious metal into our portfolio.
Gold Investments in Singapore
Buying physical gold
In historical context, buying gold used to be obtaining gold physically but today, what we are dealing with are mainly derivatives of the ownership of gold. Examples of these can be certificates of the amount of gold you own. Why is this so? It is because, the modern society requires a faster and more convenient way of transferring gold from one place to another. It would be much simpler to sell a proof of ownership of gold to another person as compared to physically transferring gold to the buyer. However, it is still possible to buy physical gold now and this leads us to the first way of investing in gold. You can buy them over the counter in banks and bullion shops.
Issues on dealing with physical gold is that you will need to find proper and secure storage places, as well as, finding buyers who are willing to accept physical gold if you were to sell it.
Now then, how do invest in gold in Singapore since we do not often see people carrying physical gold around? There must be easier ways to invest in gold.
Invest in Gold ETFs (exchange-traded funds) or Trusts
These funds collates investment monies and invests them into gold either by purchasing physical gold or gold derivatives. Hence, the share price of such funds generally mimic the movements of gold. Some other advantages offered by these funds are that they allow investors to enter the gold market at a relatively low price and investors do not have to handle anything physically. This is done by splitting the costs of owning gold among many investors and using economy of scale to achieve higher cost efficiency. Some of the Gold Trusts offered in SGX are SPDR® Gold Trust and
The downside is that these funds may have (small) performance matching error relative to the gold price due to various reasons and since some of these funds are listed on the stock exchange, they do have inherent risks pertaining to owning stocks such as liquidity and counterparty risks.
Opening a Gold Bank Account/li>
Some banks offer a bank account to allow the buying and selling of gold. An example of a local bank offer such account is UOB. It offers similar advantages to a bank account such as online banking. However, there are charges in operating such accounts such as service charges and transactional fees, so do be aware.
Getting a gold proxy by investing in a company dealing with gold/li>
You can also invest in a company’s stock that deals with gold. An example of such is a gold mining company, CNMC Goldmine Holdings. The reason is that if gold price rises, the performance of the company will most likely improve accordingly as well. However, the risks are higher by using a stock as a gold proxy as you need to be certain of the management of the company. This is so that when the gold price really do increase, there are no other factors that will limit the company’s performance. This option is also one of the riskiest among those suggested above as there is no diversification of investment and investors are fully exposed to individual equity risks.
Read also: How do you invest in Silver?
Gold Derivative Contracts (Futures / Contracts for Difference)/li>
For more experienced traders, one can use gold derivative contracts such as futures or contracts for difference (CFDs). These contracts are inherently rights to owning gold and they also allow traders to leverage their positions. These contracts are traded on many exchanges and are traded on a margin basis (traders only pay a portion of the entire trade size), hence giving it the leverage functionality. This can potentially increase both profits and losses. However, it is definitely not a tool for long-term or passive investors as the large fluctuations in gold price may bounce the position out.
Is gold one of the best investment?
Should you invest your money in gold or should you keep it in your CPF?
Price in 1977: $161.10
Price in 2015: $1060.00
Annualised Rate of Return: 4.95%
$100 invested in 1977 will grow to $657.98 in 2015
CPF Special Account (SA)
Annualised Rate of Return: 4.43%*
$100 saved in 1977 will grow to $542.45 in 2015
A mere 0.35% difference in returns between the 2 tools means a $115.53 difference in returns after 38 years.
*CPF SA interest rate was significantly higher before the start of the century (2000). We have been receiving the guaranteed interest rate of 4% since 2000 because global interest rates have been set low since the burst of the dot-com bubble.
Actual interest received will be higher than stated as we did not include the new +1% interest applicable to the first $60,000 in our CPF accounts as it would make the calculated more inaccurate.
Does this mean I should invest in Gold?
There are always risks involved when it comes to investing. You will need to weigh between growing your money (over the long term) and your current/short-term money needs.
Growing your Money over the Long Term
Over the long-term, Gold provides you with a return that is slightly above the rate CPF SA pays you. However, Gold is also subjected to price volatility. Although the returns are higher, in the short-term, it is possible for you to lose money.
As you can see from the chart below, when investing in Gold, it is possible for you to experience a big drop in value, just like in 2013 where Gold prices fell by 27.6%! But Gold prices also can post huge gains, like in 2010 when it rose by 30.6%!
Overall the price of Gold tends to trend upwards, although you do have to hold it for a very long-term to be able to gain from the growth. If you withdraw during the time where after Gold posted huge losses, it will affect the long-term returns you get from Gold.
However, you should also note that over a rolling 5-year period, Gold has a 30% chance of making losses. Meaning if you invest in Gold in 2011, after 5 years in 2015, you could still make a loss even though a fair amount of time has passed.
Current/Short-Term Money Needs
If you need money in the short term, whether if it is for your BTO down payment or your emergency fund, you should avoid putting your money into Gold – or any investments that experience price volatility.
Consistency and stability are important when saving money to meet short-term needs. Your CPF SA fits the above 2 criteria. It is consistent (it will pay you the stated interest when it is due) and stable (Singapore is one of the few remaining AAA credit rated countries in the World).
In addition, because CPF is currently giving bonus interests out on our CPF savings, the rate of return on our savings is significantly higher than the 4.43% that we have stated above. Which makes investing in Gold less attractive because the returns from investing in Gold might not be adequate to compensate for the risks we take when investing in Gold.
The Middle Ground
Although CPF is consistent and stable, you cannot withdraw the money our unless you meet the withdrawal criteria. In a way it is inflexible. Gold is also inflexible because of the price volatility it experiences. As such, given the similar characteristics of both being inflexible and long-term orientated, maybe investing in Gold for higher returns above the CPF SA might not be a bad idea.